The second major championship of the PGA Tour season is on the horizon, with the 2024 PGA Championship set to get underway on Thursday at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky. The 2024 PGA Championship field was announced last week, and 15-time major champion Tiger Woods was among the 156 golfers on the list. Woods is a 125-1 longshot in the latest 2024 PGA Championship odds. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler enters as the betting favorite among the PGA Championship 2024 golfers at 3-1. Other top 2024 PGA Championship contenders include Jon Rahm (14-1), Rory McIlroy (6-1), Brooks Koepka (10-1), Ludvig Aberg (12-1), and Xander Schauffele (12-1).
Can Scheffler continue his run of dominant play, or will a longshot emerge and shock the professional golf world? Before locking in your 2024 PGA Championship picks or Tiger Woods props, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.
The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, McClure’s best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 11 majors entering the weekend and hit the Masters three straight years. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now with the PGA Championship 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.
One major surprise: Justin Thomas, a 40-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thomas has two PGA Championship titles on his career resume, and as a Louisville native, the former Alabama standout is familiar with Valhalla Golf Club. Thomas is a proven winner with 15 career PGA Tour victories.
After a rocky season in 2023, Thomas has bounced back in 2024 with five top-12 finishes in nine starts. The 31-year-old is coming off one of his top performances of the year at the RBC Heritage, where he finished fifth against an elite field. Thomas ranks seventh on the PGA Tour in strokes gained on approach (0.712) and eighth in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.135).
The model has also examined where Tiger Woods finishes. Since suffering a gruesome leg injury in a single-car accident in February 2021, Woods has played sporadically. He has made seven worldwide starts over the last two years and had to withdraw from three of those because of either injury or illness. However, he has made it a point to try to play at courses that have been of historical significance to him and could be feeling nostalgic at Valhalla.
Woods beat Bob May in a playoff to win his fifth career major championship and his second PGA Championship in 2000 and when he won the 2001 Masters eight months later, he became the first player in history to hold all four major titles at once. Tiger put together two solid rounds to open the 2024 Masters, but struggled over the weekend. However, completing a four-round event should serve as a confidence boost and Valhalla should be an easier walk for Woods than Augusta was.